9.30.2004

Has to be Bush...

Within the past few days, I've been hearing various predictions on the outcome of the election. It started in the 'sphere', then bled onto the radio, then TV, and now (at least in my corner of the world) it has spilled onto the street.

The verdict from Republicans, Democrats, pundits, and apathetics alike: George W Bush.

I have been called 'everyman', and this is my opinion, too. My guess is that these water-cooler, lunch-counter, and grain-bin soliloquies are playing out in a uniform fashion all across the fruited plain. The great chorus of national decision has begun.

ADDENDUM:

Nearly two in three likely voters who support President Bush -- 65 percent -- said they were "very enthusiastic" about their candidate while 42 percent of Sen. John F. Kerry's supporters express similarly high levels of enthusiasm for their choice, according to the latest Washington Post-ABC News Poll.

That's a 23-point difference in relative excitement. Although the polling record is incomplete for earlier elections, the available data suggest that the enthusiasm gap in the 2000 presidential campaign was negligible, at best.

Source: Washington Post.

Many of the out-in-the-open Kerry voters I know don't talk him up the way Bush or Clinton voters did their respective candidate. It's obvious now. It's hard to get pumped up over a guy who has the most orange face in the crowd.

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