10.20.2004
Bush 46/Kerry 46
A wild ride! A nail biter!
"Less than two weeks before the Nov. 2 election, Bush and Kerry were deadlocked at 46 percent in the latest three-day tracking poll. They were tied at 45 percent the previous two days." Source.
ADDENDUM:
On the other hand, erstwhile Clinton advisor, and popular 'talking head,' Dick Morris believes the race is too close to call. Not to impugn Mr Morris - he is a very engaging writer - but he has been famously wrong in his past prognostications. ...Still...
"[H]uge turnout." This I believe!
A wild ride! A nail biter!
"Less than two weeks before the Nov. 2 election, Bush and Kerry were deadlocked at 46 percent in the latest three-day tracking poll. They were tied at 45 percent the previous two days." Source.
ADDENDUM:
American voters, while split over who should be the next president, overwhelmingly predict that President Bush will vanquish Sen. John Kerry, an expectation that could affect the outcome of a close election.
While the various national polls show that voters prefer the president over Mr. Kerry by an average of four points, those same surveys place Mr. Bush some 20 points ahead on the question of which candidate is expected to win.
This could be a big cause of concern for Kerry," professor Vicki Morwitz of New York University said. "If people really think Bush is going to win, they may have a slight tendency to shift their preference and ultimately vote for Bush, even though they were a Kerry supporter to begin with."
On the other hand, erstwhile Clinton advisor, and popular 'talking head,' Dick Morris believes the race is too close to call. Not to impugn Mr Morris - he is a very engaging writer - but he has been famously wrong in his past prognostications. ...Still...
"In this election, where everybody believes it will be razor close -- partly because of what happened in 2000 -- I don't think expectations will be a factor," he said. "I think there's going to be a huge turnout."
"[H]uge turnout." This I believe!
Comments:
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HunterByrd,
Have you read any polls that take into account early voting? I have read so much about the large number of voter registrations in most states and have seen several photos showing volunteers going door-to-door. I also have seen firsthand volunteers registering persons in malls and on the street. I haven't read anything about voters being bused to the polls for early voting, but I have read about all the busing that will take place on Nov. 2. I wonder how many of the new voters will make the effort to get themselves to the polls, or are these the masses who will be bused to the polls? And will these persons just vote for the man whose behind their ride to the polls?
-Erin Samuelsen
Have you read any polls that take into account early voting? I have read so much about the large number of voter registrations in most states and have seen several photos showing volunteers going door-to-door. I also have seen firsthand volunteers registering persons in malls and on the street. I haven't read anything about voters being bused to the polls for early voting, but I have read about all the busing that will take place on Nov. 2. I wonder how many of the new voters will make the effort to get themselves to the polls, or are these the masses who will be bused to the polls? And will these persons just vote for the man whose behind their ride to the polls?
-Erin Samuelsen
"...I wonder how many of the new voters will make the effort to get themselves to the polls, or are these the masses who will be bused to the polls? And will these persons just vote for the man whose behind their ride to the polls?"
Erin, I would say this: if someone is taking droves of voters to the polls, you can bet he or she is taking like voters! It's one of the oldest political techniques in the book, don't you know...
I have not run across any polls which take the already-voted into account. Certainly I would not expect to read or hear of this sort of thing from the MSM, as the shrill cry of 'unfair influence'! would be raised immediately.
Let us know if you discover otherwise.
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Erin, I would say this: if someone is taking droves of voters to the polls, you can bet he or she is taking like voters! It's one of the oldest political techniques in the book, don't you know...
I have not run across any polls which take the already-voted into account. Certainly I would not expect to read or hear of this sort of thing from the MSM, as the shrill cry of 'unfair influence'! would be raised immediately.
Let us know if you discover otherwise.
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